Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 37.24% | 28.35% | 34.42% |
| Both teams to score 46.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% | 79.91% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% | 30.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.98% | 67.02% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% | 32.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% | 69.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.23% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.41% |