Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.