Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.39% and a win for Ulsan Hyundai had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Ulsan Hyundai win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.