Vizela

1 - 3

Porto

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 12.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.