Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 0-3 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
| 9.62% | 17.19% | 73.19% |
| Both teams to score 43.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% | 43.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% | 66.38% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.14% | 50.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.75% | 85.24% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% | 10.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.75% | 34.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.62% 2-1 @ 2.76% 2-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.62% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.58% Total : 17.19% | 0-2 @ 13.56% 0-1 @ 12.06% 0-3 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.18% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-4 @ 5.73% 1-4 @ 3.87% 0-5 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.8% Total : 73.17% |