Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 0-3 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
9.62% | 17.19% | 73.19% |
Both teams to score 43.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.01% | 43.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.14% | 50.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.75% | 85.24% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% | 10.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.75% | 34.25% |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 3.62% 2-1 @ 2.76% 2-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.62% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.1% Other @ 0.58% Total : 17.19% | 0-2 @ 13.56% 0-1 @ 12.06% 0-3 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.18% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-4 @ 5.73% 1-4 @ 3.87% 0-5 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.33% 1-5 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.8% Total : 73.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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