Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Belenenses |
| 34.85% | 28.47% | 36.67% |
| Both teams to score 46.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% | 80.24% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% | 69.02% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% | 31.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% | 67.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Belenenses |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.67% |