Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.