Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
71.05% | 17.49% | 11.46% |
Both teams to score 49.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% | 39.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% | 62.3% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90% | 10% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.98% | 33.01% |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.32% | 44.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.32% | 80.68% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vizela |
2-0 @ 11.84% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 7.33% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.57% Total : 71.04% | 1-1 @ 8.29% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 17.49% | 0-1 @ 3.6% 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.05% Total : 11.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |