Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 11.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 71.05% | 17.49% | 11.46% |
| Both teams to score 49.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% | 39.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% | 62.3% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90% | 10% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.98% | 33.01% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% | 44.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.32% | 80.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.84% 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 9.1% 3-1 @ 7.33% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.95% 5-0 @ 2.41% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.57% Total : 71.04% | 1-1 @ 8.29% 0-0 @ 4.47% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 17.49% | 0-1 @ 3.6% 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.05% Total : 11.46% |