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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Braga

Benfica
6 - 1
Braga

Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Braga had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBraga
40.32%26.06%33.63%
Both teams to score 53.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26%50.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36%72.64%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54%64.46%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 40.32%
    Braga 33.63%
    Draw 26.05%
BenficaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.63%

How you voted: Benfica vs Braga

Benfica
67.9%
Draw
11.3%
Braga
20.8%
53