Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
5 - 2
Benfica

Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Benfica
48.98%	23.62%	27.4%

Both teams to score 58.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12%

42.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.72%

65.28%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35%

17.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74%

48.26%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08%

28.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21%

64.79%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 48.98%

Benfica 27.4%

Draw 23.61%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.51% 3-0 @ 4.44% 3-2 @ 3.42% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.98%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 3.44% Total : 27.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich

87.0%

Draw

8.1%

Benfica

4.9%