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Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
5 - 2
Benfica

Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
48.98%23.62%27.4%
Both teams to score 58.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.26%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21%64.79%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.98%
    Benfica 27.4%
    Draw 23.61%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich
87.0%
Draw
8.1%
Benfica
4.9%
246
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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