Champions League
Oct 20, 2021 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolas Otamendi 45' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dayot Upamecano 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 59'
  • goal Leroy Sane 70'
  • goal Everton 80' (OG)
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 82'
  • goal Leroy Sane 84'

Benfica vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 29, 2021 8.00pm
Benfica 3 - 0 Barcelona

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 29, 2021 8.00pm
Bayern 5 - 0 Dynamo Kiev

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result

Benfica 29.88%
Draw 21.46%
Bayern Munich 48.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

68.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 69.3%
Under 2.5 30.7%
Over 3.5 47.97%
Under 3.5 52.03%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 78.88%
Under 0.5 21.11%
Over 1.5 46.05%
Under 1.5 53.95%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 86.74%
Under 0.5 13.25%
Over 1.5 59.96%
Under 1.5 40.04%

Score analysis

Benfica 29.88%
Draw 21.46%
Bayern Munich 48.66%
Benfica
2-1 @ 6.84%
1-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 29.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.46%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.66%
2-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.22%
3-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 48.66%

Head to Head

Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 27, 2018 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Arjen Robben 13' goal
  • Arjen Robben 24' yellowcard
  • Arjen Robben 30' goal
  • Franck Ribery 33' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 36' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 51' goal
  • Franck Ribery 76' goal
  • goal Gedson Fernandes 46'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 87'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2018 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ljubomir Fejsa 22' yellowcard
  • Jardel 39' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 10'
  • yellowcard Joshua Kimmich 18'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 52'
  • goal Renato Sanches 54'
Champions League
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Raul Jimenez 27' goal
  • Mehdi Carcela-Gonzalez 70' yellowcard
  • Talisca 76' goal
  • Andre Almeida 91' yellowcard
  • goal Arturo Vidal 38'
  • goal Thomas Muller 52'
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 74'
Champions League
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Arturo Vidal 2' goal
  • Franck Ribery 22' yellowcard
  • Juan Bernat 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas 58'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 62'