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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.31% | 19.41% | 58.27% |
Both teams to score 68.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.27% | 27.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.6% | 48.4% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.56% | 24.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% | 58.88% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.37% | 9.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.83% | 32.17% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 5.47% 1-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 2.57% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.56% Total : 22.31% | 1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.41% | 1-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 4.99% 1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 2.92% 1-5 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.37% Other @ 4.06% Total : 58.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 74 | 19 | 55 | 79 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 82 | 36 | 46 | 63 |
3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 63 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 56 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 56 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 42 |
7 | Augsburg | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 36 |
10 | Heidenheim | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 31 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 29 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 28 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 27 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 26 |
17 | FC Koln | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 22 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 14 |
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