Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 17, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 5
Bayern

Schick (55')

FT(HT: 0-5)

Lewandowski (4', 30'), Muller (34'), Gnabry (35', 37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.27%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
22.31%	19.41%	58.27%

Both teams to score 68.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.27%

27.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.6%

48.4%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12%

58.88%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.37%

9.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.83%

32.17%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 22.31%

Bayern Munich 58.27%

Draw 19.41%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.47% 1-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-1 @ 2.57% 2-0 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.56% Total : 22.31%	1-1 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 2.35% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 6.45% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 4.99% 1-4 @ 4.15% 0-4 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 2.92% 1-5 @ 1.94% 0-5 @ 1.38% 3-4 @ 1.37% 2-5 @ 1.37% Other @ 4.06% Total : 58.27%