Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
4 - 2
Ludogorets

Elmusrati (25'), Medeiros (37'), Galeno (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Castro (27')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Soteriou (33'), Plastun (79')
Cafumana (38'), Plastun (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
58.75%	25.07%	16.18%

Both teams to score 39.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.62%

60.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.47%

80.52%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85%

53.15%

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.89%

50.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.27%

84.73%

Score Analysis

Braga 58.75%

Ludogorets Razgrad 16.18%

Draw 25.07%

Braga	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0 @ 16.3% 2-0 @ 12.88% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 4.69% 4-0 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.04% Total : 58.75%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 3.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.47% Other @ 2.69% Total : 16.18%