Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
| 43.04% | 27.05% | 29.9% |
| Both teams to score 49.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% | 55.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% | 76.94% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% | 25.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% | 60.6% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% | 33.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.55% | 70.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 9.42% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.9% |