Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Leca had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.89%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Leca win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.