Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Leca had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.89%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Leca win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Leca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 8.57% | 16.19% | 75.25% |
| Both teams to score 42.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.13% | 42.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% | 65.28% |
| Leca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.55% | 52.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.7% | 86.29% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.27% | 9.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.29% 2-1 @ 2.48% 2-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.57% | 1-1 @ 7.67% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.53% Total : 16.19% | 0-2 @ 13.85% 0-1 @ 11.89% 0-3 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-4 @ 6.27% 1-4 @ 4.05% 0-5 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 1.89% 2-4 @ 1.31% 0-6 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.05% Total : 75.24% |


