Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 41.74% | 27.83% | 30.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% | 58.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% | 79.1% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% | 27.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% | 63.17% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% | 71.56% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.84% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.62% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.42% |