Santa Clara head into this match in good form, having not lost a league game yet in 2022, but Sunday could be the day that run ends, as the hosts have been emphatic recently.
The poor defensive ability of the visitors is something that could prove to be their undoing, allowing Gil Vicente the chance to exploit that and cause problems at the back.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
