Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 52.39% | 24.63% | 22.98% |
| Both teams to score 50.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% | 51.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% | 72.87% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% | 19.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% | 51.28% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% | 36.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.26% | 73.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.98% |