Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.