Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 29.46% | 28.44% | 42.09% |
| Both teams to score 45.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% | 80.94% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.14% | 36.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.35% | 73.64% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% | 28.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% | 64.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.83% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 13.19% 0-2 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 8.25% 0-3 @ 3.45% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.63% Total : 42.09% |