Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 28, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
0 - 3
Gil Vicente

Agra (30'), Alves (33'), Bebeto (49'), Hernando (56'), dos Anjos (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (58'), Bueno (77'), Hanne (90+3')
Bueno (13'), Cunha (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Gil Vicente
20.85%	24.61%	54.54%

Both teams to score 48.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.89%

53.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.31%

74.69%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.75%

40.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.12%

76.87%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59%

19.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.77%

51.23%

Score Analysis

Tondela 20.85%

Gil Vicente 54.53%

Draw 24.6%

Tondela	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 7.11% 2-1 @ 5.31% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.29% Total : 20.85%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 12.8% 0-2 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.53%