Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 31, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Gil Vicente

Xadas (45')
Winck (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fujimoto (28'), Cunha (67')
Navarro (32'), Carlos (54'), Carvalho (82'), Aburjania (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Gil Vicente
18.3%	25.11%	56.59%

Both teams to score 43.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13%

57.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41%

78.59%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.12%

45.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.37%

81.63%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54%

20.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07%

52.93%

Score Analysis

Maritimo 18.3%

Gil Vicente 56.57%

Draw 25.11%

Maritimo	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 7.31% 2-1 @ 4.52% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.17% 3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.3%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 9.39% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 14.89% 0-2 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-4 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.57%