Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 1-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Moreirense |
| 33.59% | 30.77% | 35.64% |
| Both teams to score 40.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.54% | 67.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.42% | 85.57% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.62% | 37.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.84% | 74.15% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% | 35.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.77% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 13.52% 0-0 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.75% | 0-1 @ 13.74% 0-2 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.01% Total : 35.64% |