Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14

Dec 11, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
5 - 2
Tondela

Silva (32' pen.), Estupinan (41' pen.), Edwards (62' pen., 83'), Lameiras (88')
Handel (8'), Borevkovic (14'), Mumin (45')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Pedro (18' pen.), Undabarrena (27')
Almeida (28'), Quaresma (40'), Khacef (45+5'), Borges (57')
Hernando (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Tondela
57.58%	23.11%	19.31%

Both teams to score 50.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9%

49.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.82%

71.17%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2%

16.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24%

46.75%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.4%

39.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.72%

76.28%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.58%

Tondela 19.31%

Draw 23.11%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 5.83% 4-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.85% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.31%