Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 29.7% | 27.01% | 43.29% |
| Both teams to score 49.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.25% | 55.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.11% | 76.89% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% | 33.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% | 70.57% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% | 25.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.7% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.66% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.28% |