Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 39.51% | 29.19% | 31.3% |
| Both teams to score 43.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% | 82.39% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% | 31.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.64% | 67.36% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% | 36.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% | 73.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.18% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.3% |