Tondela vs Maritimo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.