Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 7, 2021 at 2pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
4 - 2
Maritimo

Pedro (15' pen., 20' pen., 43' pen.), Augusto (90+9')
Undabarrena (30'), Trigueira (59'), Almeida (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Costa (75'), Alipour (90+1')
Andrade (11'), Costa (16'), Junior (19'), China (47'), Costa (61'), Costa (69'), Joel (90+2'), Xadas (90+8')
Pelagio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.12%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Maritimo
41.17%	28.85%	29.98%

Both teams to score 44.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.87%

62.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.17%

81.83%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3%

29.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25%

65.75%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.88%

37.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.1%

73.9%

Score Analysis

Tondela 41.16%

Maritimo 29.97%

Draw 28.85%

Tondela	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8.05% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.46% Total : 41.16%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.79% Total : 29.97%