Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Vizela |
| 37.63% | 26.69% | 35.68% |
| Both teams to score 51.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% | 53.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% | 74.71% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% | 27.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% | 62.86% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.82% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.68% |