Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 52.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
| 52.62% | 25.27% | 22.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% | 54.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.28% | 75.71% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% | 20.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% | 53.23% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.34% | 39.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.66% | 76.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.36% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.52% Total : 52.61% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.58% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.5% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.34% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.38% Total : 22.11% |