Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 45.79% | 26.04% | 28.17% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% | 52.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% | 74.34% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% | 22.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% | 56.76% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% | 33.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% | 70.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.17% |