Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 44.26% | 27.05% | 28.69% |
| Both teams to score 48.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% | 56.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% | 77.35% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.93% | 60.07% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.88% 1-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.69% |