Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Tondela |
| 47.55% | 27.7% | 24.74% |
| Both teams to score 44.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% | 60.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% | 80.8% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% | 60.58% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% | 40.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.64% | 77.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Tondela |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.05% Total : 47.55% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.74% |