Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 49.88% | 27.09% | 23.04% |
| Both teams to score 44.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.1% | 59.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.84% | 80.16% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% | 24.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.48% | 58.52% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% | 41.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.65% | 78.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% 2-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 8.82% 1-2 @ 5.44% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.14% Total : 23.04% |