Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 45.24% | 28.33% | 26.43% |
| Both teams to score 43.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.17% | 61.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.39% | 81.61% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% | 39.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% | 76.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 14.13% 2-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.43% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.76% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.43% |