Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 27, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Boavista

Arouca
2 - 1
Boavista

Dabbagh (11'), Antony (90+1')
Dabbagh (49'), Bukia (67'), Campi (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (54')
Njie (28'), Vukotic (36'), Makouta (71'), Malheiro (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBoavista
55.08%24.43%20.49%
Both teams to score 48.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17%52.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55%74.45%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91%19.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.3%50.7%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53%40.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92%77.08%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 55.08%
    Boavista 20.49%
    Draw 24.42%
AroucaDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.58%
3-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 5.29%
4-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.72%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.99%
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.49%

How you voted: Arouca vs Boavista

Arouca
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Boavista
20.0%
5
rhs 2.0


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