Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 19, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
7 - 1
Maritimo

Nunez (3', 18'), Gilberto (34'), Silva (48'), Yaremchuk (57'), Ramos (86'), Seferovic (90+1')
Nunez (7')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Alipour (81')
Rossi (16'), Costa (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (10.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
74.53%	16.52%	8.95%

Both teams to score 43.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91%

43.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51%

65.49%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.04%

9.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.07%

32.93%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.28%

51.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.18%

85.82%

Score Analysis

Benfica 74.52%

Maritimo 8.95%

Draw 16.52%

Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 13.7% 1-0 @ 11.88% 3-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.95% 4-0 @ 6.08% 4-1 @ 4.01% 5-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.32% 6-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3% Total : 74.52%	1-1 @ 7.83% 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.56% Total : 16.52%	0-1 @ 3.4% 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.85% Total : 8.95%

How you voted: Benfica vs Maritimo

Benfica

88.2%

Draw

5.9%

Maritimo