Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 27, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Restelo

Belenenses
0 - 7
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-7)

Kau (1' og.), Seferovic (14', 39' pen.), Weigl (27'), Nunez (32', 36', 45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Belenenses and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Belenenses	Draw	Benfica
17.07%	23.04%	59.89%

Both teams to score 46.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.97%

52.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23%

73.76%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.05%

43.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.92%

80.08%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97%

17.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83%

47.17%

Score Analysis

Belenenses 17.07%

Benfica 59.88%

Draw 23.04%

Belenenses	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.15% 2-1 @ 4.48% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.6% Total : 17.07%	1-1 @ 10.89% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.04%	0-1 @ 13.24% 0-2 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 6.92% 1-3 @ 5.69% 0-4 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-5 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.63% Total : 59.88%