Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Boavista2 - 2Benfica
We said: Boavista 1-3 Benfica
Boavista have struggled to get going since the turn of the year and find themselves languishing in the bottom half of the Primeira Liga standings. They now face a Benfica side who have been imperious in the history of this fixture, claiming 12 wins from their last 16 encounters. We predict a one-sided affair with the visitors coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 23.2% | 22.94% | 53.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
