Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Boavista win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 23.2% | 22.94% | 53.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% | 43.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% | 66.03% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.32% | 32.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.77% | 69.23% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% | 16.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% | 45.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.9% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.2% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.96% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.72% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.86% |