Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.