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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | -25 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 34.81% | 26.37% | 38.81% |
| Both teams to score 52.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% | 51.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.64% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% | 28.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% | 64.24% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% | 26.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% | 61.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.87% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.7% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.82% |