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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 55.96% | 22.34% | 21.7% |
| Both teams to score 56.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.32% | 42.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.92% | 65.09% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% | 15.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.35% | 43.65% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% | 33.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% | 70.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.7% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.96% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.41% 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-1 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 21.7% |