Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 54.2%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.