Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.