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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 20.94% | 21.95% | 57.11% |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.12% | 41.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.72% | 64.29% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% | 33.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% | 70.42% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% | 14.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.58% | 42.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 5.57% 1-0 @ 5.3% 2-0 @ 2.88% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 20.94% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.38% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.44% 0-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 5.88% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.98% Total : 57.11% |