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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
| 14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 64% | 20.36% | 15.64% |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% | 43.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% | 65.75% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% | 12.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.78% | 39.21% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.43% | 40.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.83% | 77.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.99% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.36% | 0-1 @ 4.7% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.64% |