Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.