KNVB Beker | Final

Apr 17, 2022 at 5pm UK

Philips Stadium

PSV
2 - 1
Ajax

Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

Last Six:

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ajax	33	79	82
2	PSV Eindhoven	33	43	78
3	Feyenoord	33	43	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
33.93%	23.58%	42.48%

Both teams to score 62.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.61%

39.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.27%

61.73%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.95%

23.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.12%

56.87%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1%

18.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61%

50.38%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 33.93%

Ajax 42.48%

Draw 23.58%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 7.82% 1-0 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.93%	1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.36% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.58%	1-2 @ 8.87% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.36% 1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.45% Total : 42.48%