MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 08:42:26| >> :600:2494167:2494167:
PSV
KNVB Beker | Final
Apr 17, 2022 at 5pm UK
Philips Stadium
Ajax

PSV
2 - 1
Ajax

Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's KNVB Beker clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 PSV
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 1-3 Ajax

With both PSV and Ajax looking vulnerable in defence in recent weeks, goals are to be expected this weekend. Five of the last six meetings between these two sides have seen at least three goals scored. Another thrilling showdown between arguably the two strongest Dutch sides at present is set to take place, but considering the success that Ajax have recently had over PSV, we can see Ten Hag's men outscoring their opponents and retaining their crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
33.93%23.58%42.48%
Both teams to score 62.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.61%39.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.27%61.73%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12%56.87%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61%50.38%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 33.93%
    Ajax 42.48%
    Draw 23.58%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.82%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 4.69%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.19%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.93%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 4.93%
2-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3.36%
1-4 @ 2.05%
2-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 42.48%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
Ajax
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
PSV
1-1
Ajax
Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')
Feb 10, 2021 7pm
Ajax
2-1
PSV
Haller (19', 24')
Tagliafico (64'), Rensch (64'), Alvarez (89')
Maduro (58' og.)
Teze (26'), Zahavi (82'), Malen (89')
Jan 10, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
2-2
PSV
Promes (40'), Antony (65')
Klaassen (53')
Zahavi (2', 21')
Zahavi (81')
rhs 2.0
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