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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 36.13% ( | 23.93% ( | 39.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( | 40.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( | 63% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( | 55.97% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( | 20.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.94% |