Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.