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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Fortuna Sittard | 33 | -32 | 32 |
| 17 | Willem II | 33 | -28 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 18.47% | 20.29% | 61.24% |
| Both teams to score 58.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.13% | 37.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% | 60.13% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% | 33.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.05% | 11.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.03% 1-0 @ 4.38% 2-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.93% 3-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.47% | 1-1 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 5.35% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.15% 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 7% 0-3 @ 6.48% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 3.72% 0-4 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 2.01% 1-5 @ 1.58% 0-5 @ 1.46% Other @ 4.11% Total : 61.24% |