Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.