Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fortuna Sittard.