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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 36.69% ( | 26.41% ( | 36.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.06% ( | 51.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.32% ( | 73.68% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( | 27.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% ( | 62.82% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( | 27.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( | 62.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.89% |