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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
| 35.16% | 25.33% | 39.51% |
| Both teams to score 56.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% | 47.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% | 69.53% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% | 26.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% | 61.12% |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% | 23.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.34% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 4.13% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.51% |