Eredivisie | Gameweek 28

Apr 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 0
NEC

Douvikas (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

Last Six:

Last Game: Vitesse 3-0 Utrecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38

NEC

Last Six:

Last Game: NEC 0-1 Sittard
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47
8	NEC	33	-13	38
9	Heerenveen	33	-15	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
57.7%	21.49%	20.82%

Both teams to score 58.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.09%

39.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.72%

62.28%

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38%

13.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.22%

40.78%

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24%

32.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.32%

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 57.7%

NEC 20.82%

Draw 21.49%

FC Utrecht	Draw	NEC
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 8.87% 3-1 @ 6.58% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 3.28% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.38% Total : 57.7%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 5.52% 0-0 @ 4.46% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.54% 0-1 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.82%