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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 0-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 18.28% ( | 20.06% ( | 61.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.92% ( | 37.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.72% ( | 59.28% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( | 33.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.71% ( | 70.29% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% ( | 11.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.42% ( | 36.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 1-0 @ 4.25% ( 2-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 3-1 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 2-3 @ 3.86% ( 1-4 @ 3.82% ( 0-4 @ 3.5% ( 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 1-5 @ 1.64% ( 0-5 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 4.34% Total : 61.66% |